IS HIGH BIRTH RATE A PROBLEM
Now a day on a private TV channel
GEO there is a debate conducted in which they call every political party and
question them how they will get rid of high birth if they came in power. First
of all we have to analyze the validity of this question. Is it right to accuse
the high birth for the problem of a country? In my opinion it is not. I will
try to avoid any religious quotations in order to prove my argument because I know
that it is difficult to convince the liberal fascists through religious
teachings.
My main focus will be on Russia as it is
seriously facing the negative growth rate problems
In a speech to parliament on May 10, 2006, Putin called the problem of Russia's dramatically declining population, "The most acute problem of contemporary Russia."
In a speech to parliament on May 10, 2006, Putin called the problem of Russia's dramatically declining population, "The most acute problem of contemporary Russia."
Russia's population (at the time of the end of
the Soviet Union)
In Year 1990 population was 148 million.
Today Russia populations is 143
million.
USCB (United States of census
bureau) reports that by 2050 Russia’s population will continue to decrease to
111 million that is 20% of the present population will be swept.
7 to 8 million people die per
year.
Main causes of
decline in Russia’s population.
High death rate:
15 people die from every 1000 per
year, which is very high as compared to world average death rate which is 9
people die from every 1000 per year.
Mostly Russians are alcohol
drinkers which is the main of high death rate in Russia. There is
another thing life expectancy of male in 59 years while for women it is 72
years. The problem is males are mostly alcohol drinker
Low birth rate:
Due to economic hard ships and
high rate of alcoholism, women do not want to have a baby. In Russia the
fertility rate is 1.3 births per women, in order to have a stable population
the fertility rate must be 2.1 births per women. Birth rate in the country is
10 births per 1000 people. While in rest of the world it is over 20 births per
1000 people.
Abortion:
It is very common in Russia that
according to online news source in 2004 1.6 million women had abortions in
Russia while 1.5 million gave birth. In 2003, bbc reported Russia had 13
termination for every 10 live birth.
Immigration:
Poor economic, health and
security conditions also forces people to move from Russia and settle somewhere
else. Certain threats are always present in Russia low incomes, a lack of normal housing, doubts
about the level of medical services and quality education. At times, there are
doubts about the ability to provide enough food."
Rest of the countries:
Armenia
Armenia's population peaked at 3,604,000 in 1991
and declined to 3,018,854 in the October 2011 Census. This represents a
16.2% decrease in total population since the peak census figure.
Belarus
Belarus' population peaked at 10,151,806 in 1989
Census, and declined to 9,457,500 in July 1, 2012. This represents a 7.3%
decline since the peak census figure.
Bulgaria
Bulgaria's population declined from a peak of
9,009,018 in 1989 and since 2001, has lost yet another 600,000 people,
according to 2011 census preliminary figures to no more than 7.3 million. This
represents a 23.4% decrease in total population since the peak, and a -0.82%
annual rate in the last 10 years. Bulgaria is the country with the smallest
population growth since 1950, at 0.5%.
Latvia
When Latvia split from the Soviet Union, it had
a population of 2,666,567, which was close to its peak population. The
latest census recorded a population of 2,067,887 in 2011. This represents
a 22.5% decline since the peak census figure. The decline is caused by both a
negative population growth rate and a negative net migration rate.
Lithuania
When Lithuania split from the Soviet Union, it
had a population of 3.7 million, which was close to its peak population. The
latest census recorded a population of 3.05 million in 2011, down from 3.4
million in 2001., Further falling to 2,988,000 in September 1, 2012.
This represents a 23.8% decline since the peak census figure, and some 13.7%
since 2001.
Ukraine
Ukraine census in 1989 resulted in 51,452,034
people, the closest known data to the peak, however than number has
plummeted to 45,539,000 as of Feb 1, 2013. This represents a 12.9%
decrease in total population since the peak census figure, but 23.9% above the
1950 population.
Albania
Albania's population in 1989 recorded 3,182,417
people, the largest for any census. Since then, its population declined to
2,831,741 in the October 2011 census figures. This represents a decrease
of 12.4% in total population since the peak census figure.
Croatia
Croatia's peak census population was 4,784,265
in 1991 and has since shrunk to 4,290,612 as of 2011. This represents a
11.5% decrease since the peak census figure.
Greece
Greece's latest census reported its population
fell to 10,787,690 in 2011 from 10,934,097 in 2001 census.
Japan
Though Japan's population has been predicted to
decline for years, and its monthly and even annual estimates have shown a
decline in the past, the 2010 census result figure was slightly higher, at just
above 128 million than the 2005 census and its population has yet to
register a decline between census periods. Factors implicated in the higher
figures were more Japanese returnees than expected as well as changes to the
methodology of data collection. Population estimate as of December 2012 is
127,520,000, or a return to 2004 levels. This is still 53% above 1950
levels.
Hungary
Hungary's population peaked in 1980 at
10,709,000, far earlier than its Soviet cousins, and has continued its
decline to under 10 million as of August 2010. This represents a decline
of 7.1% since its peak, however, compared to neighbors situated to the East,
the rate has been far more modest, averaging -0.23% a year over the period.
Romania
Romania's 1992 census showed 22,810,035 people,
by the October 2011 census it had recorded only 19,042,936 people, a decline of
over 2.6 million from the 21.68 million in 2002. It represents a decline
of nearly 19.8% from the peak census figure, and a total population loss only
exceeded by Russia and Ukraine. It is only 16.7% above 1950 population.
Serbia
Serbia recorded a peak census population of
7,576,837 in 1991, falling to 7,120,666 in the latest October 2011 census. That
represents a decline of 6.4% since its peak census figure..
So u can see how the population
of the Europe is decreasing rapidly. If this continues they will considerably
fall and there will be a time when old people will be more in number compared
to young ones. High Birth rate issues can be solved by having good economic
conditions and good accumulation of resources within the society.
all suggestions will be welcomed.
Researched by: Mushahid Yasin.
